EdV-Orchestra Barometer: Summer 2026 Still Lagging (Infographic)


Baromètre EDV - Orchestra : Le dernier Observatoire EdV – Orchestra confirme une saison estivale 2026 encore inférieure à celle de 2025, mais avec des évolutions contrastées - Photo Chat GPT

MSC Croisières


Summer 2026 continues to struggle to reach the levels seen in 2025. The latest EDV-Orchestra barometer, which analyzes the activity of travel agencies—both physical storefronts and online—that use the Orchestra platform, reveals a market in decline in volume, even as the value of sales remains comparatively resilient.

By the end of July, departures showed a 5.6% drop in the number of files compared with July 2025. Sales volume fell by 4.5%, while the average basket rose by 1.2%, to €2,098. However, the increase in the basket is not sufficient to offset the contraction in volumes.


In detail, the gaps are especially pronounced across geographic regions.

France sees its sales volume fall by 4%, with the number of bookings down by 7%. The 4% increase in the average booking value helps to limit the impact. The short- to medium-haul segment displays better resilience, with a sales volume down by only 1.9% and the number of bookings down by 2.7%.

Long-haul, however, remains the market’s main fragility point. The number of bookings drops by 18.5% and the sales volume by 17.6%, despite a slight uptick in the average spend.

The Top 20 destinations illustrate this polarization. France remains at the top despite a 7.2% decrease, while Spain edges up by 4.1%. Morocco (+6.4%), Albania (+288.2%), Japan (+28.3%), and Norway (+15.8%) are among the main growth destinations.

Conversely, several markets post steep declines: Turkey (-35.3%), the United States (-39.1%), Egypt (-22.5%), Portugal (-20.8%), and Tanzania (-23.9%).


French Vacation Observatory
The Travel Companies · Orchestra / Travelsoft
August 2026



01 July 2026 departures

A slowdown compared to July 2025: business volume -4.5%, bookings -5.6%, with the average spend up slightly (+1.2%) at €2,098. The rise in spend does not compensate for the drop in volumes; the market is clearly slowing down in demand.

-4.5 %
Sales turnover
-5.6 %
Number of bookings
+1.2 %
Average spend
€2,098
Geographic zones — July 2026 departures vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — July departures (bookings vs 2025)



02 July 2026 reservations

Reservations stabilize: turnover is almost flat (-0.3%), bookings down (-3.7%), while the average spend increases (+3.5% to €1,909). The market remains more supported by value than by volumes.

-0,3 %
Sales turnover
-3,7 %
Number of bookings
+3,5 %
Average spend
1 909 €
46,6 %
Late bookings < 30 days
vs 47,8 % in 2025

14,3 %
Early bookings > 90 days
vs 14,5 % in 2025

Geographic zones — July 2026 reservations vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — reservations July (bookings vs 2025)



03 Date-based reservations for August 2026

As August 2026 departures approach: reservations remain lower than 2025 — turnover down 7.5%, bookings down 9.1% — despite a rise in the average spend (+1.7% to €2,289). Long-haul remains the most fragile segment (-18% in bookings).

-7,5 %
Sales turnover
-9,1 %
Number of bookings
+1,7 %
Average spend
€2,289
Geographic zones — reservations August 2026 vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — reservations August (bookings vs 2025)

Traveler profiles — reservations August 2026
Solos
4,1 %
Bookings -9.4 % · €1,483
Couples
41,8 %
Bookings -9.0 % · €1,978
Families
40,5 %
Bookings -9.7 % · €2,351
Groups of friends
13,5 %
Bookings -7.5 % · €3,279

Stay categories — reservations August 2026
Packages
-8,8 %
Average spend +2.7 % · €2,407
Accommodations
-9,9 %
Average spend -0.4 % · €1,030
Circuits
-16,1 %
Average spend -0.6 % · €4,132

Top 10 destination cities — reservations August 2026

Source: French Vacation Observatory — The Travel Companies · Orchestra / Travelsoft — August 2026
Departures & reservations July: 01/07 – 28/07/2026 · August: reservations 01/01 – 28/07/2026, departures 01/08 – 31/08/2026.
Data drawn from travel agencies using the Orchestra platform (20+ brands, minimum 2 years).

EDV-Orchestra Barometer: Bookings Rise in June, but Summer Remains Below 2025 Levels


Observatoire EDV-Orchestra : les réservations repartent en juin, mais l'été reste sous le niveau de 2025 - Depositphotos.com  Auteur DimaBaranow

Costa Rica


After months of decline, does the latest EDV-Orchestra barometer dedicated to June 2026 performance signal a turning point?

While SETO announced on Thursday July 2 a deficit of 85,000 customers for the summer, the latest Orchestra figures – which, recall, only account for reservations made through this channel (custom trips, stays booked directly on TOs’ B2B, or the dynamic package created by agencies are notably excluded) – also show that, by the end of July, reservations for departures in July-August 2026 were lower than those of the previous year.

The number of files continues to fall by 8.2%, with a business volume down 7.9%. However, the trend is gradually improving: the lag was still about 10% a month earlier.

The medium-haul segment once again demonstrates the strongest resilience (-5.7% in dossiers), while long-haul continues to suffer (-19.2%). Travelers continue to favor nearby destinations, to the detriment of longer journeys.

Among the most dynamic destinations for the summer are Albania (+255%), Montenegro (+21%), Canada (+12%), Norway (+7%), Morocco (+4.5%), and the Dominican Republic (+2.3%). Spain manages to hold (+0.2%), while France, Greece, Egypt, Turkey or the United States remain down.

Summary:

June departures still lag behind

June reservations rebound


Observatory of French Holidays
The Travel Companies · Orchestra / Travelsoft
July 2026



01 Departures in June 2026

A marked retreat compared with June 2025: business volume -4.9%, dossiers -5.5%, with the average basket rising slightly (+0.7%) to €1,567. These results confirm a cautious entry into the summer period.

-4,9 %
Business Volume
-5,5 %
Number of dossiers
+0,7 %
Average basket
€1,567
Geographic areas — departures in June 2026 vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — departures in June (bookings by comparison with 2025)



02 Reservations in June 2026

Net improvement in bookings: business volume turns positive again (+2.3%) after a -21% in May, driven by an average basket up (+3.9% to €1,868) which compensates for the slight drop in dossiers (-1.6%). The average lead time stands at 60 days (-1 day vs 2025).

+2,3 %
Business Volume
-1,6 %
Number of dossiers
+3,9 %
Average basket
€1,868
60 days
Average booking lead → departure
-1 day vs 2025
€1,868
Average basket
+3,9 % vs 2025
23,5 %
Late booking < 30 days
vs 23,4 % in 2025

31,4 %
Early booking > 90 days
vs 32,1 % in 2025

Geographic zones — June 2026 reservations vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — reservations in June (bookings by comparison with 2025)



03 Summer holidays 2026

Summer July-August 2026: reservations still behind (volume -7.9%, dossiers -8.2%), but the decline is narrowing compared with late May. The average basket is almost stable at €2,490 (+0.3%). Long-haul remains the most affected (-19% in dossiers).

-7,9 %
Business Volume
-8,2 %
Number of dossiers
+0,3 %
Average basket
€2,490
Geographic zones — reservations for Summer 2026 vs 2025
France
Medium-haul
Long-haul
Top 20 destinations — reservations for summer (bookings by comparison with 2025)

Traveler profiles — Summer 2026 holidays
Solos
3,5 %
Dossiers -14,0 % · €1,574
Duos
36,2 %
Dossiers -8,3 % · €2,102
Families
46,6 %
Dossiers -8,3 % · €2,562
Friend groups
13,9 %
Dossiers -5,9 % · €3,494

Categories of stays — Summer 2026 holidays
Packages
-7,5 %
Cart +1,6 % · €2,550
Accommodations
-9,4 %
Cart -0,1 % · €1,097
Circuits
-15,0 %
Cart -2,6 % · €5,577

Top 10 cities by dossier count — Summer 2026 (departure changes)

Source: Observatory of French Holidays — The Travel Companies · Orchestra / Travelsoft — July 2026
Data drawn from travel agencies using the Orchestra platform (20+ brands, at least 2 years).

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